Greg Sherwood MW: SA fine wine now highly suitable as an investment
By Greg Sherwood, 13 October 2021
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It’s been a very interesting couple of weeks in London for buyers in the wine trade. Just when you think Covid-19 has destroyed the very essence of your day-to-day existence, then all of a sudden, life springs eternal and sure enough, we are back on the path of sanity and the tasting season is well and truly up and running and in full swing. To be fair, the tasting season has been at full tilt for more like four or five weeks with thirsty, double vaxxed wine merchants tired of being locked up being invited to full-on crowded tasting rooms once again as well as some lavish lunches with international wine producers from Europe and further afield in attendance who have flown into the UK to get the show back on the road. Pandemic bedwetters be warned, the next 500 to 600 words contains explicit commentary of mask-free tastings, non-socially distanced wine glugging and general all round good times. Kills joys… time to exit stage left.
I suppose I should apologise for my more acerbic language above but actually I won’t, it expresses my generally dismissive regard for the growing virtue-signalling army who pretend to be doing good in the name of a wider society while in reality they are only concerned with a more self-serving mission that attempts to make themselves appear to be the true virtuous pilgrims on the path of righteousness. Thankfully the game is up and the lockdown lovers trying to obfuscate the wider wine trade recovery are being called out and are being red carded. Enough is enough. Normality beckons, but only if we open our arms and welcome it in!
While the London trade works its way back to a new kind of normality, the fine wine auction scene in South Africa has thrown up some serious questions for the wider fine wine trade both locally in South Africa as well as in the major trading markets around Europe, the Far East and the United States. If you thought the latest Strauss & Co fine wine auction might have passed under the radar of international buyers, think again. The wider wine trade has been talking about little else. With the new-release tasting season taking place within the perestroika of the post-lockdown era, there have been a lot of double-takes from merchants watching the Eden Sadie, Chris Alheit and Vilafonté auction prices achieved recently in the circa R1.7 million rand, sell-out fine wine auction.
Fine wine auctions at Strauss have been plentiful of late but what this latest focused auction has highlighted is the truly investable nature of some of South Africa’s finest white and red wine producers and the resultant scampering for allocations of the wines of Alheit, Sadie and Vilafonté among the newly converted has become more feverish and determined than ever before. As a merchant who has historically received a disproportionately large allocation of all of the above producers, I can tell you that even my allocations are now being eroded as the well-intentioned importers of these wines attempt, in good faith, to spread their already meagre UK market allocations to an ever broader, demanding clientele.
The auction scene has created somewhat of a dilemma for me. My focus has always been, unashamedly, on new-release sales, leaving the secondary market trading to the bigger merchants, the brokers and the more esoteric fine wine traders. But with eye-watering prices being achieved in the recent Strauss auction, more and more fine wine buyers are signing up to the fact that South Africa’s best wines bought on release at early-bird prices represent one of the easiest opportunities on the market to make some serious double-digit margins. Yes, after 20 years of fine wine poker, my hand has been called and more and more players are joining the poker table and throwing their chips into the hat. My one glimmer of hope is that thankfully, the importing merchants allocating these highly sought-after wine commodities are doing so with a certain amount of wisdom and common sense, trying to protect long standing accounts, clients who buy multiple products across their offered ranges, and strategically placing the allocations in channels that allow the products to reach genuine drinking consumers rather than merely allowing allocations to disappear into the quicksand of the endless fine wine blackhole broking market.
Let’s get one thing straight. There are no sour grapes on my end. I entered into the fine wine trade in the UK over 20+ years ago as an equally ruthless commodity trader intent on carving out a niche and making some margin on South African fine wine while all around me babbled on about burnt rubber, virused vines, sweaty saddles and backward winemaking. Even I knew that this smoke screen of distraction could not last, especially with the very high quality of wines arriving on the market in the past decade.
Funnily enough, at my last tasting this week of the new releases of the wines of Hannes Storm, Donovan Rall, Lukas Van Loggerenberg and David & Nadia, I was asked by a fellow UK merchant if I could actually sell these wines, however impressive, at circa £40-£50-£60 pounds a bottle? My answer to him was NO, it’s an incredibly difficult affair… because I simply don’t have enough stock to sell!! The fine wine wagon rolls on and waits for no man (or woman) so jump on now, while you still can, to avoid any regrets. On the up side, if you don’t happen see your way to ever drinking your fine wine allocations one day, at least the lovely folks at Strauss & Co will lighten your load and oblige by sticking a bit of extra cash in your pocket in return.
- Greg Sherwood was born in Pretoria, South Africa, and as the son of a career diplomat, spent his first 21 years travelling the globe with his parents. With a Business Management and Marketing degree from Webster University, St. Louis, Missouri, USA, Sherwood began his working career as a commodity trader. In 2000, he decided to make more of a long-held interest in wine taking a position at Handford Wines in South Kensington, London and is today Senior Wine Buyer. He became a Master of Wine in 2007.
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Roman Kerze | 14 October 2021
Apart from the unfortunate introduction, Greg is speaking some truth.
I used to buy and drink lots of Burgundy when it was still affordable. Then Rayas & Allemand. Then Rougerard. Now I am buying Columella, Porseleinberg and Mullineux as they are truly world class and currently offer incredible value – pour a Mullineux Granite Chenin or Skurfberg against any top white Burgundy and it is difficult to choose a favourite. In 5 years the massive and thirsty global market is going to push these wines to different price levels, as fine wine buyers become aware of them. We may not like it, but it is the reality that is coming our way. I’m buying them while I can still afford them.
George | 14 October 2021
This is an article about greed rather than wine:”SA fine wine now highly suitable as an investment”. What’s the title about other than an encouragement to invest rather than drink? “Crowded tasting rooms … lavish lunches”, grotesque enough for a Hogarth or Rowlandson cartoon. Taste … taste … taste … buy … buy …buy …
Thankfully there’s plenty of excellent S.A. wine for drinking and enjoyment rather than chasing after apex investment assets.
Greg+Sherwood+MW | 14 October 2021
Have you never thought about buying two cases of a great wine on release, cellaring one, drinking the other one over a period of time then selling the aged case to finance new purchases? Simple case of elevated price based on supply and demand for a commodity being consumed thus increasing in rarity? Is this the work of the devil I ask?
Stefan | 16 October 2021
I try to do exactly this often and so far this has allowed me to drink some of the best SA wines. If I didn’t buy some investable wines for resale purposes I would never be able to drink the great wines of SA as they would just be unaffordable. If this is wrong only the filthy rich will know what a Porseleinberg, Columella, etc tastes like.
Krishan | 13 October 2021
Let’s look after the children….
Anyway so glad you offer wines to the genuine drinker so grateful for this.
Anthony Rose | 13 October 2021
Dream on, Greg.
Greg+Sherwood+MW | 14 October 2021
Thanks Anthony. Dreaming away! 😉
Angela Lloyd | 13 October 2021
‘Kill joys’ ‘bedwetters’. Firstly, I thought this article was supposed to be about SA fine wine & its investment value. But, more important, Greg, you are dismissing with insulting words the fact that 138000 people in the UK have lost their lives to Covid and more than 8 million have been infected. Yesterday, 12th October, another 181 died and you still have a ‘dismissive regard for the growing virtue-signalling army’.
Duncan says he should resist saying anything; I disagree, there should be an outcry at your view and the fact that you self-indulge in an article that’s supposed to be about wine.
This diversion from the real topic makes me so angry, as the nub of what you write is of interest to all of us who buy wine of the quality you are considering.
I am glad you talk about merchants allocating wines to genuine wine drinkers rather than investors and that you seem to suggest auctioning wine should not be a first option. With the limited quantities available, the strategy of buying double what one needs, selling the extra and funding your next purchase, must be increasingly impossible.
Greg+Sherwood+MW | 13 October 2021
You are missing my point. With most adults in UK double vaxxed, there is still a brigade agitating for very strict draconian measures. What’s the point of vaccinating people if you don’t restore their liberties and freedoms? At the height of the pandemic, certain measures were required all over the world, but it’s time to open up the wine trade, restaurant trade and tourist trade.
Ben | 13 October 2021
But Greg, you were criticizing lockdowns and other preventative measures long before the majority were fully vaccinated. I remember little but your moaning about lost liberties and freedoms, callously ignoring the thousands dying around you.
Arnoud | 13 October 2021
As a regularly drinker and buyer of fine South African wines I notice that, at least in the Netherlands and Belgium, the prices on the secondary market for South African wines are not as crazy as in South Africa. Supply of South African wines on auctions in the Netherlands (Winefields) or Belgium (Sylvies) is relatively small but many lots are sold around or just above their release price, except for Kanonkop Paul Sauer 2015.
Greg+Sherwood+MW | 13 October 2021
True, but I think this will start to change. In France you can still pick up bottles of back vintage Sadie etc but again, this is likely to change very quickly. Consumers should snap up the stock if they see it. I remember Clos Rougeard going from £50 to £75 to £150 to £250 per bottle within 2 vintage releases. Caught everyone off guard. Same is easily possible for Sadie and Alheit wines.
Duncan | 13 October 2021
I should resist saying anything, but the provocation makes it hard. It was the pandemic that killed the joy. And the tough measures to combat the pandemic, that we all endured with great difficulty and which affected all our livelihoods, make the current joy possible. And ongoing vigilance – the exact level of which is of course far from clear – is needed to keep the joy going. Hopefully irresponsible comments won’t ruin it for the rest of us.