Michael Fridjhon: SA fine wines are a global steal (but not forever)
By Michael Fridjhon, 20 November 2024
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It’s been thirty years since South Africa’s first democratic election, and in that time the wine industry has gone from being the pariah to the darling of the wine world. Our exports may be down from their peak of ten years ago, but our profile has never been higher. Until a few years ago comments about Cape wine usually came with a reservation like “great value” or “exceptional at the price point” – reflecting as much Rand weakness as an inclination to damn with faint praise.
In the last year or two this has changed dramatically. The message – especially from the UK – has been unequivocal. This is perhaps most evident in the latest series of articles on Jancis Robinson.com – comfortably the most authoritative and most impartial source of wine information for Britain and the Commonwealth (and increasingly important in the US following its acquisition by an American company).
Here are some examples:
“I’ve tasted nearly 200 South African wines in the last three months. And within the context of the 3,000-plus wines I’ve encountered this year, I know beyond a shadow of a doubt that South Africa is making such good – scratch that – stunning wines right now, that the rest of the wine world should be circling in awe.
“…For a number of years now, we’ve written about ‘the revolution’ in South African wine, but that is now an old story. South Africa has a well-earned, well-established position as a producer of some of the best wines in the world – they are certainly, on the whole, some of the most elegant, as the tasting notes below and the red wine tasting notes tomorrow show. South Africans seem to have found the secret to making moderate-alcohol, pure-fruited, layered wines from some of the hottest, driest vineyards in the world. I wish some European producers would go visit them to learn how. Regions that are seeing climate-induced challenges of low rainfall and heat spikes should be beating a path to South Africa, notebooks in hand.”
Subscribers to Jancis Robinson’s Purple Pages then get to see the 228 Cape wines reviewed over the two articles which appeared recently on consecutive days on the site. The ratings follow the somewhat old-fashioned 20-point system, which may confuse those chasing wines within two points of the magical 100, but it is easy to see how the calibration works. It’s also very clear – at least to regular visitors to the site – that there have been no concessions to score inflation. By way of some examples: Cullen’s top wine – the Diana Madeline 2012 – managed 17.5; Penfolds Bin 169 2010 16.5; Vidal-Fleury’s Côte Rôtie 2023 15; Chateau Pichon Lalande 2019 16.5. Yet the average score for the South African wines recently reviewed on the site was pretty close to 17. Several were at 17.5 and quite a few were on 18. To give this some context: Domaine de la Romanée-Conti’s Richebourg 2021 scores 18 and Chateau Latour 2003 16.5
Many, but not all, are familiar brands – but they are mainly names we connect with small volume production. Except for a few cellars like Kleine Zalze, Meerlust and Spier, they are producers associated with craft volumes. I’m talking about Alheit, Botanica, David & Nadia, The Foundry, Lismore, Miles Mossop, Newton Johnson. Not boutique, not garagiste, but not vast. At a guess I would say that annual production is between 8,000 and 15,000 rather than 20,000 – 4,0000 dozen – so not small, but not industrial: a set-up where the winemaker can still pick and choose her/his fruit most of the time. And where the range doesn’t have anywhere to bury mistakes.
Once again, this requires context: 5,000 – 10,000 dozen would be a respectable size for a well-established grower in Burgundy; 100,00 – 200,00 the size of Chateau Palmer (first and second label). So this is a significant improvement on a few years ago, where most of the names garnering decent scores on the site were far closer to the garagiste side of the spectrum, making comparison with real wine enterprises problematic.
This is a big deal. It’s fair to assume that Jancis and her team have a better grasp than most of what is on offer in the world of wine, and that their judgements are framed on the absolute quality, unmediated by price, of what they sample. When Cape wines are scoring alongside Old-World classics and selling for a fraction of the price it doesn’t take adventurous consumers very long to shift their allegiance. Not all of them of course: for many the big names and famous appellations are part of the motivation for drinking fine wine. But others – especially younger, less hide-bound wine drinkers – will seek out these high-scoring Cape exotics. They won’t approach their purchasing with the baggage of a previous generation. They will discover that Van Loggerenberg’s Kameraderie Chenin Blanc 2023 scores 17.5++ and “smells like apple mint and lemon verbena…and tastes like pineapple pressed into sea glass into white wax, (that it is) stunningly complex and thrilling” and that it costs a mere £40. This is about a quarter the price of the Carruades of Chateau Lafite which typically garners a lower score.
When that happens (and this is a “when” not an “if”) the price we pay for these wines today – however high they seem to us who have become accustomed to shopping in a market where surplus determines that there is an abundance of vinous bargains – will seem derisory; just like the R18.50 per bottle which was what Romanée-Conti cost at Civil Service in Johannesburg exactly 50 years ago. So enjoy now, while you can. And don’t say you weren’t warned.
- Michael Fridjhon has over thirty-five years’ experience in the liquor industry. He is the founder of Winewizard.co.za and holds various positions including Visiting Professor of Wine Business at the University of Cape Town; founder and director of WineX – the largest consumer wine show in the Southern Hemisphere and chairman of The Trophy Wine Show.
Michael Fridjhon | 26 November 2024
You make an interesting point Tim, but it’s at least as much about the currency as it is about the wine. The wines have improved dramatically – this we all agree. And the currency has collapsed dramatically – well beyond what looked like a collapse in 1985.
By any measure the Rand is now at about 5% of its purchasing power parity compared with that era. 1981 Mouton Rothschild retailed for roughly half the price of Hamilton Russell chardonnay (the most expensive wine in SA in those days). The HRV Chardonnay was produced from five year old vines. Its rarity added value for sure, but the overly strong Rand skewed the comparison
Greg Sherwood | 2 December 2024
I returned from the UK to SA in 1985 to join Elon Musk & Co. at Pretoria Boys High in the Class of 1988. When I cashed in my meagre piggybank at foreign exchange, I received £1 to R1…. for all my efforts saving pocket money. How crazy when you look back.
But having just returned from a week in Burgundy, another point you highlight is key for me… for the next generation of drinkers… “They won’t approach their purchasing with the baggage of a previous generation.” This point has never been clearer… and is reinforced time and time again when us priviledged few taste Richebourg 2023 from the barrel… knowing that it will be released at 500 or 1000 euros a bottle. Think of all the budding young fine wine enthusiats that will never get to experience these wines.
The next generation looks upon SA’s top artisan growers and producers in a completely different light to the older generations… the one that still associates drinking sherry with their vicar etc… and not, like the new generation, drinking it in a trendy wine bar in Cadiz served chilled alongside Michelin stared Tapas on a long weekend break in Spain. Unfortunately, this dynamic shift tends to take a generation… so 20 to 25+ years… which can often be too long to some producers to turn around their sales fortunes in a wider market.
Tim James | 26 November 2024
Ironically, Michael, I found the following in your 1986 book “Conspiracy of Giants” on the SA liquor industry:
“Compared with the wine of almost any country in the world, South African wine is far too expensive. Until the collapse of the rand in 1985 one could pay the same for ‘appelllation controlée’ French wine as for a local wine certified for ‘area of origin’.” And you go on to explain why “there is no way in which South African wine should approach the price of a good imported one”. How times have changed in many respects!
Andrew Woolgar | 25 November 2024
Thanks, will do
Michael Fridjhon | 24 November 2024
Hi Andrew. There are over 200 wines reviewed in those two articles on JancisRobinson.com. I identify a handful of producers and, by way of an example, I choose the score and tasting note of only one wine.
If you want to know what I think about De Kleine Wijn Koop you can go onto Wine Wizard and find out
Andrew Woolgar | 24 November 2024
Great article sir, always good to highlight some lesser known farms. But one thing I can’t fathom.. Jancis Robinson singled out De Kleine Wijn Koöp on her SA report as having the most consistently produced (and scoring ) wines, so why did you not mention that farm?
Mike Ratcliffe | 21 November 2024
Well said Michael – excellent context. South Africa’s quality improvement curve remains steeper than the price escalation curve. Considerably steeper. However, demand will grow, things will catch up and prices will rise. I just hope that some of the winery success translates into elevated volumes rather than just elevated prices. the South African wine offering desperately needs a larger number of high quality premium brands with volumes that can actually satisfy the market. Hopefully this too will come. At every price point consumers will seek value.